Rockets vs. Warriors Predictions, Best Bets and Odds: NBA Playoffs Game 7 – Sunday, May 4, 2025 – Bleacher Nation

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The Houston Rockets are slight 2.5-point favorites heading into a decisive Game 7 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Golden State Warriors at Toyota Center on Sunday, tipping off at 8:30 p.m. ET on Golden State Warriors. The series is tied 3-3. The over/under for the matchup is 204.

Looking to make an informed wager on Sunday’s game? Dig into the best bets available for this matchup (based on our computer predictions) below.

How to Bet on Rockets vs. Warriors

Pick the Rockets (-2.5) to Cover

  • The Rockets are 42-38-2 against the spread this season.
  • The Warriors have played 82 games, with 41 wins against the spread.
  • The Rockets have been favored by 2.5 points or more 52 times this season and are 27-24-1 ATS in those games.
  • The Warriors have been underdogs by 2.5 points or more 18 times this year and are 11-7 ATS in those matchups.

Take the Points Over (204)

  • The Rockets and their opponent have combined to score over 204 points, the current matchup’s total, in 65 of 82 games this season.
  • This year, 68 of the Warriors’ 82 total matchups have gone over 204 total points scored.
  • These two teams average 228.1 points per game combined, 24.1 more than the total of 204.
  • Opponents of the two teams average a combined 16.3 more points per game (220.3) than this matchup’s total of 204 points.
  • The average point total for Rockets games this year is 19.4 more points than the over/under of 204 in this matchup.
  • The average point total for the Warriors this year is 22.6 points higher than this game’s over/under.

Back the Rockets on the Moneyline (-142)

  • The Rockets have been favorites in 54 games this season and have come away with the win 42 times (77.8%) in those contests.
  • The Warriors have compiled an 11-15 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 42.3% of those games).
  • This season, the Rockets have been victorious 39 times in 50 chances when named as a favorite of at least -142 or better on the moneyline.
  • The Warriors have a record of 7-11 when they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +120 or longer (38.9%).
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rockets have a 58.7% chance of walking away with the win.
  • The implied moneyline probablility for this matchup gives the Warriors a 45.5% chance to win.